El Fulano
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Allowance · 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 07/08/2024 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 17/09/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 13/11/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 07/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |