11
Full Boogie
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Allowance · 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA79 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 19/09/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 03/10/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/06/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 02/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |