10

Grano D Oro

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 74

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Allowance · 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 48 · 1f80y Fas 126 · beat its mark24/04/2025 · OR 48 par24/04C5OR 48C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 52 · 1f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 52 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 51 · 1f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 51 par16/07C5OR 51C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 1f130y Fas 126 · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 63 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 74 · 1f30y 126 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 74 par6/10C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f110y 126 · below its mark03/11/2025 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f80y 128 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 70 par21/04C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 69 · 1f130y 128 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f110y 128 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 70 par7/07C5OR 70projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-04-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2025-11-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2025-10-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-09-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0417/0921/047/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength3%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20257th25/10%33%+0.33
07/06/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
16/07/20256th20/10%17%+0.17
17/09/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
06/10/20254th9/276%67%-0.10
03/11/20258th3/184%22%-0.62
21/04/20269th9/153%11%-0.42
15/06/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
07/07/20267th6/168%33%-0.35