8
Outlaw Woman
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Allowance · 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |