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4

Streakindownthebeach

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 87

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Allowance · 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 86 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/08/2024 · OR 86 par7/08C5OR 86C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 88 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2024 · OR 88 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark07/05/2025 · OR 89 par7/05C5OR 89C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 86 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 86 · 1f130y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 86 par7/08C5OR 86C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 87 · 1f180y Slo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 88 · 1f110y Gd 128 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 88 par13/11C5OR 88C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 91 · 1f130y Gd 128 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 87 · 1f130y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 87 par4/07C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th3rd+1
2026-05-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-10-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th3rd+1
2025-08-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st0th+1
2025-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/084/0713/114/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20243rd15/261%78%+0.17
03/09/20242nd6/168%89%+0.20
07/05/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
04/07/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
07/08/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
08/10/20254th2/189%25%-0.64
13/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
06/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/07/20264th11/486%63%-0.23