Brooklyn Benny

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 49

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.1

Today:

Class gap: +0.4

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-09	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-23	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-21	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-05-01	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-04-15	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	8th	6th	+2	3.8
2025-11-12	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	11th	9th	+2	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 7

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength18%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
12/11/2025	11th	16/1	16%	9%	-0.07
15/04/2026	8th	10/1	47%	22%	-0.25
01/05/2026	3rd	15/2	61%	67%	+0.06
21/05/2026	7th	7/1	63%	0%	-0.63
23/06/2026	1st	15/8	90%	100%	+0.10
09/07/2026	5th	5/1	74%	0%	-0.74