4
Sassy Julia
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 54
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 10/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |