8
Good Call
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-02-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 25/04/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 21/05/2025 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |