7

Love Potion

3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 62

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f Fm 1175/09C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f Gd 117 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 65 par29/09C6OR 65C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m 120 · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 60 par6/11C6OR 60C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 63 par9/06C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2025-11-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2025-09-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2025-09-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0929/096/119/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20254th25/10%70%+0.70
29/09/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
06/11/20256th20/10%38%+0.38
09/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14