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6

Outofpi

4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 09/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 5f Fm 118 · beat its mark09/05/2025 · OR 81 par9/05C6OR 81C6 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 84 · 5f110y Slo 118 · below its mark27/06/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Ellis Park 01/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark01/08/2025 · OR 83 par1/08C6OR 83C6 @ Kentucky Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 86 · 6f 121 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Kentucky Downs 07/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 83 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 83 par7/09C6OR 83C6 @ Keeneland 22/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 87 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 87 parC9 @ Churchill Downs 23/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 84 · 6f 122 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 84 par23/11C9OR 84C9 @ Churchill Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 72 · 6f110y 125 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 5f Fm 124 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 65 par30/06C6OR 65projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-04-28Churchill Downs?8th11th−3
2025-11-23Churchill Downs?9th12th−3
2025-10-22Keeneland?11th11th0
2025-09-07Kentucky Downs?5th5th0
2025-08-30Kentucky Downs?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0530/0823/1130/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength71%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20253rd16/116%78%+0.62
27/06/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
01/08/20254th25/10%73%+0.73
30/08/20259th25/10%27%+0.27
07/09/20255th33/10%64%+0.64
22/10/202511th40/10%9%+0.09
23/11/20259th14/126%11%-0.15
28/04/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
30/06/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14