4

Dionysus
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 92
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |