4

Dionysus

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 92

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m 11927/09C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 70 par12/05C6OR 70C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 1m Slo 122 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 84 par22/06C6OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd1
2026-05-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th5th1
2025-09-27Belmont At The Big A?7th8th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0912/0522/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
12/05/20264th3/184%73%-0.11
22/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12