9
Gettysburg Address
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-12-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-11-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2024 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 23/06/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 13/08/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 22/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |