8
Right On Right On
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 94
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/01/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |