10

Mad Mo

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 49

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f 11912/06C6C6 @ Ellis Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 39 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 39 par5/07C6OR 39projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Ellis Park?8th8th0
2026-06-12Churchill Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/065/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
05/07/20268th16/116%30%+0.14