10

Baladine

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 27/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark27/04/2025 · OR 83 par27/04C8OR 83C5 @ Hawthorne 22/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 95 parC5 @ Hawthorne 08/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 88 par8/06C5OR 88C5 @ Hawthorne 26/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 89 · 5f110y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Hawthorne 31/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 87 par31/07C5OR 87C5 @ Hawthorne 21/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Hawthorne 02/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 77 par2/10C5OR 77C8 @ Hawthorne 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Ellis Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 80 par4/07C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Ellis Park?4th4th0
2025-10-23Hawthorne?1st1st0
2025-10-02Hawthorne?8th5th+3
2025-08-21Hawthorne?6th3rd+3
2025-07-31Hawthorne?2nd-1th+3
2025-06-26Hawthorne?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0426/062/104/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20252nd8/158%80%+0.22
22/05/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
08/06/20252nd14/126%86%+0.59
26/06/20253rd7/163%71%+0.08
31/07/20252nd10/382%75%-0.07
21/08/20256th8/158%0%-0.58
02/10/20258th20/10%22%+0.22
23/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
04/07/20264th14/126%40%+0.14