2
Bella's Prayer
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |