1
Bourbon Street Boy
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 19/11/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |