9

C'est Magnifique
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 29/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 11/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |