7
Chiringo
6yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 86
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 15/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |