Corona Grande
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-04-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-03-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-02-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2024 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 16/12/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 27/01/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 04/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 11/04/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 27/04/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/05/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |