12
Do Ya Wanna Dance
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 18/06/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |