4

Lake Bee

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 91

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 15/04/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/04/2024 · OR 89 par15/04C5OR 89C6 @ Canterbury Park 20/06/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2024 · OR 84 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 04/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 91 · 5f Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2024 · OR 91 par4/07C6OR 91C6 @ Canterbury Park 25/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/08/2024 · OR 90 parC5 @ Remington Park 05/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2024 · OR 93 par5/10C5OR 93C5 @ Remington Park 19/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/10/2024 · OR 97 parC5 @ Remington Park 09/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 98 · 6f110y Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/11/2024 · OR 98 par9/11C5OR 98C5 @ Remington Park 30/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 103 · 6f Fas 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/11/2024 · OR 103 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 100 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 100 par4/07C8OR 100projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2024-11-30Remington Park?3rd0th+3
2024-11-09Remington Park?3rd-1th+3
2024-10-19Remington Park?1st-3th+3
2024-10-05Remington Park?2nd-1th+3
2024-08-25Canterbury Park?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0425/089/114/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20246th6/594%0%-0.94
20/06/20243rd12/137%60%+0.23
04/07/20247th33/10%0%0.00
25/08/20242nd12/137%86%+0.49
05/10/20242nd13/891%75%-0.16
19/10/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
09/11/20243rd13/891%50%-0.41
30/11/20243rd3/184%50%-0.34
04/07/20267th10/147%0%-0.47