11
Mamoot
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 22/02/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |