8
C V Holly
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 32
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#16
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |