13
Conquistadora
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |