14

Empress Sisi

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 87

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 07/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m 1197/09C6C6 @ Keeneland 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 80 par3/10C6OR 80C6 @ Churchill Downs 08/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 84 par8/11C6OR 84C6 @ Keeneland 12/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 80 par12/04C6OR 80C6 @ Churchill Downs 10/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 88 · 1m1f Fm 118 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 88 par10/05C6OR 88C6 @ Churchill Downs 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m4f Fm 118 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 88 par14/06C6OR 88projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Churchill Downs?7th7th0
2026-05-10Churchill Downs?8th8th0
2026-04-12Keeneland?9th9th0
2025-11-08Churchill Downs?7th7th0
2025-10-03Keeneland?4th4th0
2025-09-07Kentucky Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/093/108/1112/0410/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20256th33/10%55%+0.55
03/10/20254th33/10%73%+0.73
08/11/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
12/04/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
10/05/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
14/06/20267th16/116%25%+0.09