14

Empress Sisi
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |