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10

Nancy Mak

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 73

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 58 par3/01C9OR 58C9 @ Turfway Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 53 · 1m 120 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 53 parC9 @ Turfway Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 1m 120 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 58 par28/02C9OR 58C9 @ Turfway Park 19/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 60 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 60 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m 121 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 64 par21/04C6OR 64C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 59 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 63 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 63 par26/05C9OR 63C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 65 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Gd 121 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 72 par11/07C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd6th−3
2026-05-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd6th−3
2026-05-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-04-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-03-19Turfway Park?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0119/0326/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
15/02/20265th40/10%64%+0.64
28/02/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
19/03/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
21/04/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
02/05/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
26/05/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
11/06/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
11/07/20266th14/126%29%+0.02