9
Tramuntana
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |