4
Eos Maggie May
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 60
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Paul Martin Overnight Stakes · 1f 130y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-06-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |