2
Heza Classy Cowboy
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Paul Martin Overnight Stakes · 1f 130y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA73 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA73 | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA67 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA68 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 26/06/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 30/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |