11
Last Famous Eagle
3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Paul Martin Overnight Stakes · 1f 130y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA66 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-07-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |