3

Tw Streakin Cowboy

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 96

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Paul Martin Overnight Stakes · 1f 130y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1f130y Fas 12430/07C5C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 81 par16/09C5OR 81BHA96 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 96 · 1f180y 124 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 96 par25/1096OR 96C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 97 · 1f180y Fas 126 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 97 par18/06C5OR 97projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-10-25Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA961st7th5
2025-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-07-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0716/0925/1018/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20252nd10/147%80%+0.33
16/09/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
25/10/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
18/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09