3

Key To The Highway

6yo Mare · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Uhlan Du Val - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 04/01/2023 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 23/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/01/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/01C?C0 @ Le Mans 16/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 11/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 20/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 13429/11C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-11-29Vincennes?1st1st0
2024-11-23Graignes?0
2024-10-30Vincennes?6th6th0
2024-10-15Vincennes?0
2024-09-20Vincennes?4th4th0
2024-08-30Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0116/0720/0929/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/01/20235th17/255%69%+0.14
23/12/20232nd11/142%92%+0.50
12/01/202411th3/184%23%-0.61
16/07/20246th16/116%67%+0.51
11/08/20242nd7/491%92%+0.02
30/08/20243rd5/174%86%+0.12
20/09/20244th7/491%80%-0.11
30/10/20246th10/147%67%+0.19
29/11/20241st3/184%100%+0.16