9

L'ultime D'axel
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Les Sables · Prix Axel De Bouttemont - Monte · 1m 5f 174y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.67 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |