9

L'ultime D'axel

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Les Sables · Prix Axel De Bouttemont - Monte · 1m 5f 174y

#5

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chateaubriant 03/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1393/02C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 139C0 @ Caen 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13920/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Caen 16/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14316/03C?6 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1436 @ Vichy 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 013/0666 @ Pornichet 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 018/076projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Pornichet610th10th0
2026-06-25Laval?0
2026-06-13Vichy68th8th0
2026-03-28Laval61st1st0
2026-03-16Caen?6th6th0
2025-12-11Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0211/1213/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20255th40/10%67%+0.67
17/08/20252nd80/10%90%+0.90
20/09/20254th16/116%82%+0.67
11/12/20255th9/153%73%+0.21
16/03/20266th3/184%44%-0.40
28/03/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
13/06/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
18/07/202610th80/10%10%+0.10