5

Luigi Du Clos

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Les Sables · Prix Axel De Bouttemont - Monte · 1m 5f 174y

#4

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 17/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13217/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13611/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1433/02C?C0 @ Cherbourg 06/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 1436/04C?6 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/076projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Pornichet68th8th0
2026-04-06Cherbourg?8th8th0
2026-03-24Maure De Bretagne?0
2026-02-03Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-12-29Vincennes?0
2025-12-11Vincennes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1211/123/026/0423/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/12/20245th18/15%73%+0.68
11/12/20251st28/10%100%+1.00
03/02/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
06/04/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
23/07/20268th100/10%46%+0.46