5

Matrix De La Baie

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Bird Parker - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#13

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/05C?C0 @ Cabourg 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/10C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/11C?6 @ Vire 01/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/036C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 17/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?6 @ Caen 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 030/0566 @ Agen 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 020/066projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Agen66th6th0
2026-05-30Caen65th5th0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?5th5th0
2026-03-01Vire64th4th0
2025-11-07Laval?4th4th0
2025-10-23Cabourg?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/051/0320/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20256th5/287%50%-0.37
02/10/20254th11/142%77%+0.35
07/11/20254th100/10%80%+0.80
01/03/20264th12/137%75%+0.38
17/03/20265th7/163%71%+0.08
30/05/20265th50/10%64%+0.64
20/06/20266th11/271%67%-0.04