2

Mitsuki Du Bourg

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Bird Parker - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Laval 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/10C?C0 @ Laval 05/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 05/03C?C0 @ Chartres 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05/04C?C0 @ Chartres 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 028/06C?4 @ Pornichet 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 018/074projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Pornichet44th4th0
2026-07-13Le Mans?0
2026-06-28Chartres?2nd2nd0
2026-04-05Chartres?3rd3rd0
2026-03-05Laval?8th8th0
2025-10-04Laval?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/094/105/035/0428/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20255th28/10%60%+0.60
04/10/20257th50/10%60%+0.60
05/03/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
05/04/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49
28/06/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
18/07/20264th20/10%70%+0.70