12

Mozart Des Bordes

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Bird Parker - Attele · 1m 5f 38y

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 14/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 13214/05C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 015/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13225/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 02/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 09/09C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 17/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?C0 @ Les Sables 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 02/06C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-02Les Sables?7th7th0
2026-05-22Graignes60
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?9th9th0
2025-09-09Vincennes?7th7th0
2025-09-02Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-08-25Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/052/092/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20257th10/147%54%+0.06
15/08/20255th66/10%50%+0.50
25/08/20255th22/10%50%+0.50
02/09/20256th14/126%44%+0.18
09/09/20257th50/10%33%+0.33
17/03/20269th50/10%43%+0.43
02/06/20267th50/10%50%+0.50