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7

Lord Paguerie

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Alexis Raffin - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Angers 15/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 015/0165 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/0256 @ Agen 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 02/046C0 @ Chatelaillon 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 012/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Chatelaillon?7th7th0
2026-04-02Agen63rd3rd0
2026-02-26Laval57th7th0
2026-01-15Angers63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0126/022/0412/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
26/02/20267th14/126%57%+0.31
02/04/20263rd7/163%86%+0.23
12/07/20267th25/10%33%+0.33