3

Lover Des Brousses

5yo Colt · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Alexis Raffin - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#10

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 02/08/2023 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/08/2023 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/09/2023 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y 026/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/10/2023 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y 0C0 @ Amiens 26/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 026/11C?C0 @ Vire 18/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?C0 @ Cherbourg 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 014/06C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Saint-Malo60
2026-06-14Cherbourg?3rd3rd0
2026-05-19Argentan?5th5th0
2026-03-18Vire?6th6th0
2026-01-16Nantes50
2025-11-26Amiens?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0820/1019/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20233rd5/174%50%-0.24
28/08/20232nd14/126%90%+0.64
26/09/20233rd11/271%71%+0.00
20/10/20237th25/10%25%+0.25
26/11/20259th100/10%38%+0.38
18/03/20266th80/10%67%+0.67
19/05/20265th66/10%67%+0.67
14/06/20263rd9/153%87%+0.34