9

Lucky Fix

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Alexis Raffin - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#14

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 24/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 024/10C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 08/08C?C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 017/09C?C0 @ Graignes 30/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 030/10C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?6 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/076projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Lisieux68th8th0
2026-05-19Argentan?8th8th0
2025-12-09Amiens?0
2025-11-09Mauquenchy?7th7th0
2025-10-30Graignes?7th7th0
2025-09-17Caen?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1030/102/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20246th33/10%58%+0.58
08/08/20254th33/10%70%+0.70
17/09/20254th20/10%73%+0.73
30/10/20257th22/10%50%+0.50
09/11/20257th66/10%60%+0.60
19/05/20268th80/10%42%+0.42
02/07/20268th33/10%59%+0.59