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Hoppela Thepol

9yo Mare · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Pierre Jean Hoffman - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 05/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 05/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 21/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 04/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 09/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Pontchateau 21/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 031/0154 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06 @ Les Sables 11/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 011/076projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Les Sables610th10th0
2026-03-21Vincennes410th10th0
2026-03-06Pontchateau?0
2026-02-09Graignes50
2026-01-31Vincennes56th6th0
2025-12-21Pontchateau?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/084/0931/0111/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20256th40/10%55%+0.55
21/08/20258th50/10%46%+0.46
28/08/20257th28/10%60%+0.60
04/09/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
09/11/202511th40/10%17%+0.17
21/12/202511th18/15%41%+0.36
31/01/20266th50/10%58%+0.58
21/03/202610th50/10%31%+0.31
11/07/202610th33/10%0%0.00