7

Joella Bella
7yo Mare · 0-0
Les Sables · Prix Pierre Jean Hoffman - Attele · 1m 5f 174y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Craon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 31/07/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 59% | -0.04 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 87% | -0.07 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.33 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |