7

Joella Bella

7yo Mare · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Pierre Jean Hoffman - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 12/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/02C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 31/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 031/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Craon 07/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 07/09C?C0 @ Pontchateau 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Pontchateau 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04/065C0 @ Pornichet 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 06 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/076projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Le Mans63rd3rd0
2026-07-08Pornichet?1st1st0
2026-06-04Pontchateau52nd2nd0
2026-04-12Pontchateau?3rd3rd0
2025-09-07Craon?3rd3rd0
2025-08-28Pornichet?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0228/084/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
25/05/20254th5/287%75%-0.12
31/07/20258th7/163%59%-0.04
28/08/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
07/09/20253rd5/493%87%-0.07
12/04/20263rd17/255%88%+0.33
04/06/20262nd5/493%91%-0.03
08/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
25/07/20263rd11/1094%83%-0.11