IvyArcIvyArc
6

Jolie Smart

7yo Mare · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Pierre Jean Hoffman - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Divonne Les Bains 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 021/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 02/01C?5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/01C?5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 06 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 018/066projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Caen67th7th0
2026-02-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-02-17Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2026-02-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-01-21Cagnes-sur-Mer58th8th0
2026-01-11Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/088/013/0218/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
25/11/202513th50/10%14%+0.14
02/01/20265th11/486%73%-0.12
08/01/20265th28/10%69%+0.69
11/01/20262nd7/282%90%+0.08
21/01/20268th12/137%53%+0.16
03/02/20262nd11/486%90%+0.04
17/02/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
18/06/20267th25/10%57%+0.57