4

Jonquillete Crepin

7yo Mare · 0-0

Les Sables · Prix Pierre Jean Hoffman - Attele · 1m 5f 174y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 29/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 029/05C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 11/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 141C0 @ Mauquenchy 11/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13211/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13914/10C?C0 @ Enghien 18/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 128C0 @ Cherbourg 06/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 1416/04C?C0 @ Chartres 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 139C0 @ Laval 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1395/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Laval?3rd3rd0
2026-05-31Chartres?4th4th0
2026-05-11Argentan?0
2026-04-06Cherbourg?9th9th0
2026-03-14Lisieux60
2025-10-18Enghien?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0530/096/045/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20257th28/10%45%+0.45
11/08/20252nd7/163%89%+0.26
11/09/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
30/09/202511th20/10%33%+0.33
14/10/20259th33/10%0%0.00
18/10/202510th5/174%10%-0.64
06/04/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
31/05/20264th33/10%75%+0.75
05/07/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71