7

Dancing Terror

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 65

Lingfield · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap (AWT) · 7f 1y

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D debut winner in December 2024 and improved on that when second in 7f novice here. However, he has offered little in 3 starts this year, last of 6 in 7f Yarmouth handicap on final run for Amanda Perrett. Needs this yard switch to spark a big resurgence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 31/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 13131/1254 @ Lingfield 16/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f1y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS16/0244 @ Lingfield 12/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m1y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 77 par12/024OR 775 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 73 · 7f Sta 133 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 73 par8/045OR 735 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 68 · 7f3y Gd 130 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 68 par28/045OR 68projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-28Yarmouth56th6th0
2026-04-08Kempton512th12th0
2026-02-12Lingfield410th9th+1
2025-02-16Lingfield42nd1st+1
2024-12-31Lingfield51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1216/0212/028/0428/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/12/20241st11/271%100%+0.29
16/02/20252nd6/492%80%-0.12
12/02/202610th40/10%0%0.00
08/04/202612th50/10%0%0.00
28/04/20266th40/10%0%0.00