9

Dandy Khan

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 60

Lingfield · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap (AWT) · 7f 1y

#2

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 4-time C&D winner. Off 3 months and below par both turf runs this summer, sixth of 8 in handicap here (7f, firm) 13 days ago. Could bounce back returned to all-weather here now though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 07/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 62 · 7f1y Std 124 · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 62 par7/025OR 625 @ Wolverhampton 16/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m142y Std 126 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 7f1y Std 130 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 60 par28/026OR 606 @ Lingfield 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 60 · 7f1y Std 137 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 65 par20/035OR 654 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f1y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 65 par4 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 64 par3/044OR 645 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 62 · 7f3y GF 122 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Lingfield 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 61 · 7f GF 128 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 61 par22/075OR 61projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Lingfield56th6th0
2026-07-09Epsom Downs55th5th0
2026-04-03Lingfield46th5th+1
2026-03-27Lingfield45th4th+1
2026-03-20Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-03-05Lingfield65th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/025/033/0422/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
16/02/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
28/02/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
05/03/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
20/03/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
27/03/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
03/04/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
09/07/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
22/07/20266th40/10%29%+0.29