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8

Majestic Wave

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 62

Lingfield · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap (AWT) · 7f 1y

#10

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thirteen runs since his last win in 2024 but comes here on the back of a good second of 10 in handicap over C&D 22 days ago. Can go well again off the same mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 19/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 84 · 7f1y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/06/2025 · OR 84 par19/064OR 844 @ Lingfield 12/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 80 · 7f1y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/08/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Kempton 27/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 77 · 6f Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 77 par27/084OR 774 @ Kempton 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Lingfield 23/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m1y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 74 par23/094OR 745 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 71 · 7f Sta 134 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 68 · 7f1y Std 133 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 68 par14/045OR 686 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 65 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 7f2y Std 132 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 62 par13/076OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Lingfield62nd3rd−1
2026-06-04Lingfield67th8th−1
2026-04-14Lingfield59th9th0
2025-10-22Kempton59th9th0
2025-09-23Lingfield410th9th+1
2025-09-05Kempton46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/065/0914/0413/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/202510th12/137%0%-0.37
12/08/202510th40/10%18%+0.18
27/08/202510th33/10%10%+0.10
05/09/20256th80/10%38%+0.38
23/09/202510th50/10%0%0.00
22/10/20259th28/10%27%+0.27
14/04/20269th12/137%20%-0.17
04/06/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
13/07/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36