2
Mister Mojito
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 69
Lingfield · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap (AWT) · 7f 1y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-11 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 25/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |