1
Sahana
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 70
Lingfield · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap (AWT) · 7f 1y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 26/06/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 28/07/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |